https://www.facebook.com/TurnVARedAgain/
The 3rd Congressional District of Virginia (VA3) has long been a district that most political scientists pass by and rarely cover because it has been dominated by the Democratic Party of Virignia for decades. Bobby Scott (D) has represented the district since 1993 and most simply take it for granted based on prior elections that the Demcorats will hold the third district every two years come election time.
The Cook Political Index placed the VA3 has a 16+ advantage to Democratic candidates in 2017 and called it the 86th most "Democratic nationally". Two years ago there was no challenger to Scott by the Repulican Party and back in 2016 Rep. Scott defeated Marty Williams (R) by 36 points. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball has the district "Safe Demcoratic".
But while many ignored the district, things on the ground very well may have shifted a bit since the last time a Repulican was on the allot in 2016.
The district is comprised primarily of Newport News (24.13%) Norfolk City (17.31%) Chesapeake City (15.45%) Hampton City(14.77%) Portsmouth City (13.01%) Suffolk City(8.30%) Isle of Wight (5.88%) and Franklin City (1.15%).
The district is primarily an urban district with a medium household income of $52,797. 2016 redistricting has reshaped the district and made it the least "Democratic" it has been in decades after much of the western protion of the district in areas like Petersburg and Richmond City were removed. The district today is only comprised of about a five percent rural component.
Join Chasing Victory in Virgnia 2020-21 here: https://www.facebook.com/groups/2606638476319301/
President Trump's appeal in the VA3 has risen over the last two years in direct response to many of the programs and intitiatives he has undertaken for the African Amercian community. In 2016, Trump did not fair very well in the VA3 at the polls. The increase in support for Trump is a major factor in influencing what is happening on the ground in the VA3 today coupled with the fact that under eight years of President Obama the district floundered with high unemployment.
The district now represents a critical opportunity for the Republicans to begin to make the argument to voters that the policies set forth by Trump and not the Democrats are better for the district and that the Democrats in Congress have all but ignored their lives for over a decade. Many Republicans in the General Assembly voted expanding Medicaid for example that widely impacted many in the district and allowed for coverage based on income thus provided greater assistance to those in the district in need. Trump's employment initiatives and community opportunity zones were working to increase employment in the eastern region of Virignia until the pandemic crisis set it. Trump has created many more Republicans in the VA3 over the last two years than previously existed especially in the highly dense urban areas of Norfolk City and Hampton City. The VA3 unemployment remained double the national average for decades and only recently during Trumps tenure had improvements been made at addressing it.
While most in the political analysis arena do not see the VA3 in play in 2020, there is certainly a narrowing of the gap on the ground in terms of control the Demcorats may actually have in reality. Bobby Scott(D) is a legacy candidate who has rarely ever had to campaign let alone ever been in a real campaign fight. Should the Republicans do the wise thing in the VA3 and nominate Madison Downs (R) in the primary being held next month, Scott will actually be in for the what could be his biggest fight politically in a decade.
Madison Downs (R), however is currently in a battle of his own for the nomination and there are forces at work to see that he never has the opportunity to face Scott. These forces are playing a very selfish and dangerous game in the VA3 using racially motivated tactics to seek an outcome that will only end in disaster for the Republican Party.
John Collick (R) has no chance of defeating Bobby Scott (D) in November. None. The Collick campaign is not speaking to the VA3 community at large and providing any messaging that would create enthusiasm for voters to support the GOP. Instead it is proven to me a muddled mess. The Collick campaign was being run by a former Democratic operative of all things before being exposed and was continually harassing the other Republican campaigns like the Madison Downs campaign. Both former Marines, Collick and Downs are engaged in a bitter fight that may turn off many of the vital voters that the GOP needs to bring into to the Party this November at the polls.
The Collick campaign has also been provided the benefit of clear support from the Young Republicans of Tidewater who recently had members during a digital town hall of sorts conducted with Congressional candidates like Jarome Bell and Madison Downs ask leading and unwarranted questions during the session in a clear attempt to undermine these candidates with voters. Auxillaries of the Republican Party typically remain nuetral in primaries and align with the nominee once selected by voters, however this unit appears more active and engaged as an arm of the Collick campaign than a nuetral party.
Recently, John Collick released a statement after pulling out a debate scheduled that he denounced racism and yet appears to be tacitly approving it by the Young Republicans of Tidewater who have allegedly been releasing videos and social media content take out of context or simply just attempting to make allegations with no evidence to support any claims whatsoever. The Young Republicans for example, have been behind the attempt to discredit Madison Down's residency in the district but with little success.
How any of this benefits the broader cause of the Repulican Party is certainly a question for every voter to consider come primary day. The Collick campaign should denounce the efforts being undertaken by the Young Republicans which clearly represent an attempt to undermine others in the race for the benefit of John Collick. Should Collick refuse to condemn the actions, voters should cast their support in protest on primary day and move the VA3 forward with a legitimate opportunity to bring change to the district. A change that the district so desparately requires after decades of neglect at the hands of the Democratic Party in Congress.
Madison Downs is the change that the VA3 deserves,
https://conservativestateus.blogspot.com/2020/05/bait-switch-chase-communications-prove.html
https://conservativestateus.blogspot.com/2020/05/virginia-3rd-district-debate-controversy.html
https://www.facebook.com/groups/2606638476319301/
J. Scott
Hmmmm... so have you actually researched Downs? Probably not.
ReplyDeleteCollick has no chance? None? Why? You also forgot to mention WHY both he and Yacus pulled out of the debate. Or the joint letter they provided. But the sponsor of the event pulled out too due to the MODERATOR and the posting of a very inappropriate video.
Funny, this article's second half parrots, almost word for word, Madison Downs live FB complaint videos.
Additionally. Why would this "conservative" platform not research this candidate it clearly supports? Downs lives in Culpepper, operates a business there. His old website for that business touts 0bama in some sections. Downs claims to be a chaplin however calls people MF and other disparaging comments. He calls people trolls and rests on race as his final argument. I would expect a body to do some research and properly vet a candidate.
All do respect but if you look at the bottom of the post you will find a link to the post regarding the debate pullout by John and George. In terms of research regarding the VA3 Collick refused to respond to questions regarding his involvement with the YR. The residency of Downs was verfied through the filings documentation with the SBOE and just as the Board determined Downs is eligible to run in the VA3 regardless of how many homes he owns. Are you saying that Downs is not a chaplain? Are you saying he has midled voters? Do you have any proof if this fact? The racial element that you place at the feet of Downs appears to not in truth have started from his campaign but rather Collick's former campaign manager in the harassment documented in the district. I believe that individual has been removed.
DeleteWithin the Commonwealth of Virginia there ia a group of folks lurking in dark closets and boardrooms that call themselves Republicans. Like termites, they have been slowly destroying the home of Patrick Henry and four of the first five Presidents until today Virginians are looking at a state of affairs that would cause even George Washington to roll over in his grave, do a double-take, and maybe even resurrect and take matters into his own hands. Republicans in Virginia have no sense of liberty; they are deep state holdovers with no interest in maintaining or advancing the precepts of the Contitutions - neither that of Virginia or that of the United States. The time has come, like it did over 200 yesrs ago, for a revolution. New leaders need to be put in place at every level; from precinct captains, to county party to district party leaders to, of course, state leaders (it is at the state level that the most thorough dismantling and take down needs to happen. Everyone with any history in the RPV needs to be decommissioned - allowing 23 uncontested races in last fall's elections is beyond irresponsible; it is incredulous). I thank God for new and conservative candidates such as Mr. Downs who are stepping up to run for Congress throughout the Commonwealth; they are patriotic, conservative, and constitutional. We need more like him, and I wish him all the best.
ReplyDeleteCollick has NO chance because he isn’t focusing on winning over purple/moderate voters, plain and simple.
ReplyDeleteRegarding Downs “treatment” of “voters”, he has been dealing with a racist sector within the party that continues to attack him. These individuals you bring up aren’t just voters, they’re racist “Republicans” .
HmmmmMm...Just Jen...where did you get all your information from? Why is it so hard to believe Madison has 2 homes? Why does it matter if he touts Obama on occasion? I mean Collicks former campaign manager is a democrat. That's just being petty. Your information seems to be from from lies spewed from the opposing camp. I suggest in the future you do more actual research before you speak on things that is apparent you really know nothing about. You're speaking on hearsay. You were provided with links at the end of the article and in the reply he gave you. Facts are all that matter here....not lies and hearsay. Be Blessed....not angry. Change is coming....
ReplyDelete